The Second Coming of Sarah Palin?
Posted by demkid on June 5, 2010
The 2010 California Primary is just 3 days away, and it’s looking like it will be a night for the women, at least in the hotly-contested GOP races. Meg Whitman, the former CEO of eBay, saw her once formidable 50-point lead in the GOP governor’s race slip to single digits over Steve Poizner. However, it looks as if her tens of millions spent on bombarding Californians with annoying television commercials have done enough to stem the tide. In the final Field Poll released yesterday, Whitman has extended her lead over Poizner to 26 points, and is ahead 51%-25%. I’m sure we just can’t wait for more of her commercials in the next 5 months, this time attacking Governor Brown. (She’s already started this by referring to “Sacramento politicians like Steve Poizner and Jerry Brown…”) In any case, despite her considerable funds, I think she’ll have her ass handed to her in November, as she’ll be painted as way too conservative for California.
On the Senate side, however, I’m slightly more nervous about November’s outlook, but pleased about the pending GOP nomination. In the final Field Poll released just this morning, former HP CEO Carly Fiorina (from now on simply referred to as “Carly!”) has opened up a large margin over her two challengers, Congressman Tom Campbell and Assemblyman Chuck DeVore. She leads 37%-22%-19%, and looks to be headed to a short-haired showdown with Senator Boxer in November. I say that I’m slightly nervous here, more so than in the governor’s race, primarily because of the politics of the Democratic candidate. We all know that Barbara Boxer is one of the most liberal politicians around, but she’s become a California institution, and voters seem to be comfortable with her, even though the average person is more moderate. Fortunately, GOP voters are selecting a conservative Republican with close ties to Sarah Palin, as opposed to the socially moderate Campbell. Insiders know that if Campbell was the nominee, Boxer would be in serious trouble, because Campbell’s politics are likely more in line with Californian’s values. Moderate Republicans can do well here (take Arnold, for example), but it’s been a long time since a conservative has held a significant statewide office. Take that along with the most recent statewide registration figures which show Democrats outnumbering Republicans 45%-31%, and the challenges for a conservative in this state become clear.
While I think Boxer clearly has the edge over Carly!, I’m a little worried about the big bucks that Carly! will surely pump into her campaign in the coming months. She also seems more likable than Meg Whitman, for example, and she definitely has a Sarah Palinesque vibe. If you’ve seen any of her commercials lately, you get the sense that she could be the second coming of Palin (referring to herself by her first name only, for example), and the politics definitely match. For instance, in her most recent TV ad, she refers to climate change as “the weather.” Here’s Sarah! touting Carly’s! true conservative values, like being pro-life and pro-NRA:
This is what puts me a little more at ease about the November election. Are Californians going to elect Sarah Palin lite? I have a seriously difficult time imagining that. However, lots and lots of money can make any race interesting, and the “Golden Parachute Twins” are about to fall right into Californian’s collective lap. Buckle up!
PS – Carly! also has a spotty voting record, just like Meg. Brilliant, ladies.